What is the statistically average rate of growth for new youtube channels?

[Acerthorn]

This is one of the most unanswerable questions. I totally get where you are coming from, I wanted to know the same thing last year when I started. This Sunday marks my first year doing Youtube and I'm just past 20,000 subs. But that is not even close to normal. It has a lot to do with trends, the algo picking your videos, finding the right audience, luck, hard work, SEO..etc.

Based on my observation of a bunch of channels, if you work hard, you may get 1k at the end of the first year. But there are so many aspects to this that I would never tell someone to put their hopes in something like that. They may get 1k in 3 months or 3 years.

I gave a threshold to go off of in my most recent comment:

"Ok, here. Let me try a different approach to this. If you get your 100th subscriber within X amount of time of your channel actually uploading its first video, how long until you actually reach 1,000 subscribers, assuming you're using the same tactics regarding SEO, upload frequency, average length of episodes, and suchlike?

Would it be 3x time before reaching 1k? Maybe 5x?"

 

[EVO]

Would it be 3x time before reaching 1k? Maybe 5x?"

Anywhere between 1x and 10000000x

 

[Acerthorn]

Anywhere between 1x and 10000000x

Go to hell.

 

[ThatBrickBloke]

I think it would be hard to create an average statistic - some topics are going to be super popular, easy to create and at a length the YT algorithm loves whilst others might have a tighter niche where the community might be massively passionate about the topic but the community around it is smaller limiting how fast the channel could grow.

All this plus the amount of effort put into the channel and how likeable the presenter is all make an impact.

 

[dailydrivenh2]

i dont think there is no formula to calculate this . Youtube is a weird animal , Im at 4xx already heading to 500 subs and this has happened way too fast within 1 an a half months and im not even uploading alot at all . What ever i was thinking i had learned with only a few videos 8 to be exact i had thrown that out the window .